Worst Debt Crisis in History — Russ Vernon-Jones Blog

Photo credit: Russ Vernon-Jones

One of the major obstacles to solving the global climate crisis is the extreme debt crisis in much of the Global South. Just when the whole world needs nations in the Global South to participate in addressing the climate crisis, many of these nations are hobbled by impossibly high levels of debt.

The Popeโ€™s message to a recent debt crisis meeting wasย reportedly, โ€œThe worldโ€™s poorest countries are being crushed by unmanageable debt and richer nations need to do more to help.โ€

This is more than a debt and climate crisis, of course. This is a crisis in health, education, and basic living standards, too. Across 144 developing countries,ย debt serviceย is absorbing an average of 41.5% of government revenues. In the first quarter of this year in Nigeria, servicing the national debt consumedย 74%ย of all federal government revenue. How can any nation function under such circumstances?

Catastrophic implications for the world

This has been a growing global problem for some years and is now finally getting some more attention among the wealthier nations. Theย Guardianย has called it the โ€œworst debt crisis in history.โ€ Two weeks ago the New York Times published anย articleย titled โ€œAfricaโ€™s Debt Crisis Has โ€˜Catastrophic Implicationsโ€™ for the World.โ€ In the New York print version it appeared on the first page of the second section.

How did this crisis get to be so bad? Many Global South counties have abundant natural resources and would be relatively wealthy countries if they hadnโ€™t suffered several centuries of exploitation and resource theft by the countries of the Global North. For instance, before colonization by the British, India was one of theย wealthiestย countries in the world, with roughly a fourth of the worldโ€™s total wealth. Recent research has shown that Great Britain extracted roughlyย $45 trillionย from India from 1765 to 1938. Today India is among theย lowest thirdย of all nations in per capita income.

The extraction of wealth did not end when formal political colonization ended. Someย scholarsย calculate that the wealthy nations are currently extracting $2.2 trillion per year from the poorer countries.

Forces beyond their control

Government mismanagement and corruption have played some role in creating the debt situation, but forces beyond the control of the debtor nations have blown it into an extreme crisis. Many of the loans were designed to benefit the lending nation and left the poorer nations with large amounts of debt and projects that will never generate their (falsely) promised rate of return.

Then the COVID crisis depressed economies and raised health costs and the low-income nations could only meet the most basic needs of their people through borrowing. The situation was made worse by the Ukraine war raising food and energy costs. Climate disasters have created even greater needs in many poor countries.

Then the U.S. raised interest rates in order to control domestic inflation and things spiraled even further out of control. The higher interest rates in the U.S. caused international interest rates to rise. The amount debtor nations were required to pay each year ballooned catastrophically. In some cases poor nations needed to obtain new loans at even higher rates in order to keep from defaulting on prior loans. This has all been very profitable for the lending nations and institutions, but disastrous for the debtors. A newย studyย finds that in 2024 the Global South is expected to pay $50 billion more in debt repayment and interest than it receives in grants and loans.

Repayment is impossible

Fifty-four countries are inย debt crisisย and at least another 45 are struggling to pay their debts. It is clear that many of these countries will never be able to pay these debts. Their efforts to pay them are ruining the lives of their people and making effective climate action impossible. No amount of โ€œreformโ€ or rescheduling of debts is going to make repayment possible.

It is clearly time to cancel much of this debt and free these nations from the ย devastation that sending money out of their countries to lenders in the wealthy nations is causing. The wealthy nations and financial industry are not going to go bankrupt if they cancel this debt. The Global North has been the primary creator of this debt crisis and must be the one to end it. Even if every penny of the debt of Global South nations is cancelled, the Global North will still have taken far more from the Global South than they have returned.

Movement for debt cancellation

Fortunately, there is a growing global movement for debt cancellation. Pope Francis hasย declaredย the year 2025 to be Jubilee year and is โ€œcalling on the wealthy nations to forgive the debt of the worldโ€™s poorest countries.โ€ Heโ€™s also calling for international financial reforms that will provide long-lasting relief from poverty and enable true care for the Earth. (In the Judeo-Christian tradition a Jubilee year is a year when slaves are freed, debts are forgiven, and the land is rested.)

Many global organizations are calling for cancelling the debt of Global South nations now โ€“includingย Debt for Climate,ย Global Call to Action Against Poverty,ย Asian Peoplesโ€™ Movement on Debt and Development,ย Debt Justice,ย Jubilee US Network, and more. Check out their websites to get a sense of what a global movement this is. Many of these organizations would welcome your involvement, donations, or just you spreading the word to your friends and acquaintances.

#CancelTheDebt because there is no #ClimateJustice without #DebtJustice!

Photo credit: Russ Vernon-Jones

 

 

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